Presented with bad news, most people tend to play it down if they can. Professional forecasters are no exception. Alas, their untoward optimism often hurts those they smile upon.
Global warming is just one aspect of the man-made major mass extinction event underway but is the facet upon which the most attention has been paid. Here’s a summary of the modeling effort and a prediction of fate.
Climate models fail to predict wind, which is an extremely significant forecasting facet. That wind is predictable highlights how pathetic climate model forecasts are.
Human mental arithmetic simplicity limits popular support for dealing with pandemics and industrialized self-extinction.
The world is not as it seems – both a spiritual statement and what can be said looking at commonly used global maps.
Statistics is a mathematical characterization with probabilistic implications. It is the math most misused by scientists because its inherent limitations are not understood or respected.
Climate modelers continue to refine their assumptions about the sensitivity of global warming to greenhouse gases. Cloud cover is the latest refinement.
The daunting difficulty of climate modeling is compounded by their institutionalized production, thereby putting a conservative cast on uncertainty which increasingly looks recklessly optimistic.
To fanfare in the mainstream press, Zeke Hausfather and 3 other climate ‘experts’ recently reported on how well early climate models performed. They found “that models are accurately projecting global warming.” Instead, their own survey showed otherwise.
Mathematical modeling of physical dynamics is the nebulous craft of creating equations which capture complex, often entangled, gyres. Climate models face difficulties in both modeling technique and data acquisition.
Solitons are standing waves which may appear in many media, including liquids and light. Their earliest known recording was in 1834, when Scottish engineer John Scott Russell watched a solitary wave in a canal travel over 8 miles without changing shape or amplitude.
No one reasonably doubts that inheritance plays a significant role in offspring traits. Does this extend to academic achievement? One would certainly think so.